At Last!!!

At last I sorted out my software to handle another cash account and put in all my back contract notes since September 2008. The following charts are based only on trade profits and losses. Interest and some dividends will help take the edge off the year, just a little bit.

Yearly performance shows that I gave everything that I made in 2007 back in 2008. Such is trading. 2009 is shaping up ok at the moment, at least the calender year will. It would be nice to present the data in financial years.



The equity curve suffered more than it needed to as I put significantly more money into the market over the last 18 months.

I am close to fully invested at the moment. Best trade this year is CUS.

stevo

Yearly Performance

The yearly chart shown above gives a different view of trading performance from 2003 to June 2008. It good to step back and look at the big picture.

The last bar also contains substantial open profits. As I often mention percentages are difficult to calculate, but average returns are much better than the returns I would get out of commercial property - and lots less hassle.

2008 is looking pretty average compared 2007. I did add substantial sums of money throughout 2007. I haven't included bank interest or dividends to these results, they are just an added bonus.

I have cut back the number of trading systems from 4 to 2 systems. The main system has been running since 2003.

All systems are long term weekly trading systems. I don't short stocks and I don't use leverage, not because it's a bad thing but just because I don't feel the need at the moment.

stevo

2007

Just a couple of charts showing closed trade performance (as per TradeSim style reports for those that use the software).

Performance that includes monthly drawdown, dividends and adjustments for cash etc will take me a lot longer.

The closed trade equity curve is looking ok - it's heading in the right direction.

I know that people like percentages but that is a little more difficult for me to produce, especially since money tends to flow in and out of this account.

Suffice to say this isn't paper trading results - this is real money. It wasn't a brilliant year (greater than 50% gain would be a brilliant year :) ), but I really have nothing to complain about. If I can average greater than 20% compounding over the next 20 years financially I will be ok. Some might think that this target is too low?

I have taken the Y axis labels off the charts but just assume that they are in dollars. The portfolios traded with a relatively static capital base up until the end of 2006, but the capital more than doubled in 2007. If you look back on the this blog you can probably make some extrapolations if you desire.

I have probably mentioned previously that adding capital can be quite challenging. If enough is added it can nearly be like starting the portfolio up again. Startup is the hardest time in a portfolio.

I have a lot of cash (around 40%) on the sidelines since the systems have mainly been off through November & December.

Wishing everyone the best in 2008!

stevo

Revised Yearly results

 Below I posted early 2006 results. I revised the charts above give a better picture. The last bar shows carried forward open trades. Even though 2006 could be considered down on previous years in terms of realised profits the open profits carried forward into 2007 gives a better idea of how good 2006 was. Profit factor is still over 3 at 3.34, including open trades.

Over the last year there has been quite a distinct accumulation / distribution pattern of profit taking. So the 2nd quarter of 2006 realised substantial profits. Profits have been building through the 2nd half of 2006. 

Don't ask me for % profits over the year. I added substantial capital late this year.

Let's see what 2007 brings.