I trade longer term mechanical trading systems exclusively on the ASX. I rarely look at daily charts and the systems are built using weekly timeframes. The information in this site is based on actual trades in real portfolios. I don't trade using margin or any sort of leverage. I mainly use Amibroker for system testing and trade monitoring. I am not selling anything. This is just a journal to record where I have been and, just maybe, where I am going.
Sunday, February 26, 2006
Combining Systems
I combined 2 systems together and simulated trading using the same position sizing and capital bases for both systems from 1999 to 2006.
The results are shown in the chart posted.
Performance for profit was improved when the systems were traded together, and drawdown was better than just trading the most profitable single system. More trading opportunities provided greater profits but did not increase drawdown in proportion to the profits.
Monday, February 20, 2006
System tests - Monte Carlo
What looks like two very different systems are actually the same system with different position sizing strategies. The 2000% plus profit for system 1 was achieved using 10% of equity as the postion size, whilst system 2 used $10000 per trade on $100,000. Everything else in the 2 tests was the same.
This is why it can be very difficult to compare systems.
The results are from a 100 simulation Monte Carlo, from Jan 1999 to present, on the ASX300. As with all my systems this one is weekly. Average trade length is over 1 year. I don't trade this system.
Saturday, February 11, 2006
DOM again
Friday, February 10, 2006
DOM trade
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