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With this long term weekly system the more buy signals ignored the lower the CAR (Compound annual return %). I could ignore 10% to 30% of the trades without a huge dropoff in performance.
The "Monte Carlo" axis shows the variation of CAR at different levels of trades not taken. If a big trade is always taken because no trades are ignored then this one trade could give a false impression of the system. By testing with a random buy variable it is possible to approach Monte Carlo simulations using a different randomising approach.
Also I randomised the buy and sell price over the week the signal was given (it's a weekly system) so, even at 100% of signals not ignored there was slight variation in the results.
Hope that all makes sense!
stevo
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