I trade longer term mechanical trading systems exclusively on the ASX. I rarely look at daily charts and the systems are built using weekly timeframes. The information in this site is based on actual trades in real portfolios. I don't trade using margin or any sort of leverage. I mainly use Amibroker for system testing and trade monitoring. I am not selling anything. This is just a journal to record where I have been and, just maybe, where I am going.
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Monte Carlo and spreadsheets
I couldn't find any posts I had put up on this technique. I run Monte Carlo simulations (as many as you have the patience for - I did 200 runs) in Amibroker and then export the data to a spreadsheet.
The graphs shown above were done using Open Office, but any decent spreadsheet software will do (although OpenOffice is free for those that are frugal with their dollars :) ). I have done the same thing using Excel as well. I didn't generate the data for these graphs but the technique is quite easy once you master how to work out how to auto generate the "Bins" for the frequency distribution.
I put this up on ASF in response to a question - I haven't visited ASF for nearly a year.
regards
stevo
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